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Event Calendar

{{年份}}
10
05
upgrade Ethereum Pectra Upgrade

Raises validator limit and account abstraction

18
03
unlock Sui Token Unlock

Team and early investor shares released

30
04
upgrade Celestia Mainnet Upgrade

Improves data availability sampling efficiency

28
03
unlock Arbitrum Token Unlock

92 million ARB released

15
04
halving Bitcoin Halving

Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC

22
03
unlock Optimism Unlock

Circulating supply increases by about 2%

08
04
upgrade Solana Firedancer

Independent validator client goes live on mainnet

12
05
halving BCH Halving

Block reward halving event

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Bitcoin Season

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# Coin Price
1
Bitcoin BTC
$77,260.1
1
Ethereum ETH
$2,513.06
1
Solana SOL
$101.68
1
BNB Chain BNB
$734.8
1
XRP Ledger XRP
$1.36
1
Dogecoin DOGE
$0.0844
1
Cardano ADA
$0.2087
1
Avalanche AVAX
$7.45
1
Polkadot DOT
$1.05
1
Chainlink LINK
$11.48

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Albuquerque Gave Bitcoin ATMs 45 Days to Leave. The 90% Fraud Claim Is Either a Confession or a Counting Error.

Pomptoshi Trends

On a Tuesday vote, the Albuquerque city council gave every Bitcoin ATM operator in the city 45 days to physically remove its machines. No hearings on fee architecture. No discussion of custody design. One removal deadline, plus one number: 90%. Per the resolution's supporting language, roughly nine of every ten transactions passing through those kiosks were linked to fraud. That statistic is either the most damning data point in the history of retail crypto distribution, or a measurement artifact born from conflating chargeback disputes with transaction counts. Both readings lead to the same sidewalk. The kiosks are gone, and nobody is contesting the timeline.

Albuquerque Gave Bitcoin ATMs 45 Days to Leave. The 90% Fraud Claim Is Either a Confession or a Counting Error.

Bitcoin ATMs are not infrastructure the way a sequencer or a validator is. They are vending machines with a wallet bolted on. CoinFlip, BitStop, Coinme, General Bytes — the operator layer buys hardware from a handful of manufacturers, licenses a wallet backend, registers with FinCEN as a money services business, and routes user cash to a liquidity desk that fills the BTC side of the trade. The margin structure tells you who the machine was built for. A kiosk charges 15% to 25% over spot. A regulated exchange charges 0.1% to 0.5%. No informed buyer crosses that spread. The customer base is, by construction, people who cannot open an exchange account — or people who do not want a bank statement sitting in their file.

That second category is the one regulators noticed.

Albuquerque Gave Bitcoin ATMs 45 Days to Leave. The 90% Fraud Claim Is Either a Confession or a Counting Error.

Albuquerque's councilors were explicit in the record: the machines functioned as a crime pipeline. Elderly victims, romance scams, utility impersonation, cash deposited into single-use wallets before the victim finished the phone call. The FTC has published this dataset for years, and the trend line carries no ambiguity. The kiosk-to-fraud correlation is real. The 90% figure almost certainly overstates it by folding suspicious-activity reports on transactions that never completed, but the direction is correct, and the direction is what municipalities act on.

Here is what the ban actually does, mechanically. It removes one cash-to-chain entry point inside the city limits. It does not remove the demand. The user who needed a kiosk to convert $400 of physical cash into BTC still holds $400 of physical cash. The next best option is a peer-to-peer marketplace — a counterparty with an escrow contract, a phone number, and no compliance department. That channel produces worse fraud outcomes than the kiosks did, and it is materially harder to surveil. The council did not eliminate the crime pipeline. It relocated the intake valve downstream, outside the regulated perimeter, into a space where the only record of the trade is a chat log and a transaction hash nobody is indexing.

I spent two weeks in 2022 reconstructing Alameda's wallet clusters, tracing over 500,000 ETH across Ethereum and Solana to map commingled reserves. Every exit liquidity pool leaves a footprint. The same holds for a kiosk network. Each machine holds a hot wallet. Each hot wallet drains to a treasury address on a fixed schedule. When a city bans the hardware, that on-chain signature does not vanish — it reassembles downstream, on a P2P intermediary's address, on an unhosted wallet with no identity attached, in a settlement pattern no compliance officer will ever review.

Albuquerque Gave Bitcoin ATMs 45 Days to Leave. The 90% Fraud Claim Is Either a Confession or a Counting Error.

The financial-inclusion argument deserves a fair hearing, because the bulls get part of it right. Roughly a quarter of American adults are underbanked, and a non-trivial share of kiosk volume historically served remittance flows and savers with no bank relationship. Cash remittance is expensive; on several corridors Western Union prices worse than a kiosk. Kill the machines and you have not opened a bank branch. You have created an unserved customer. That is a real cost, and the council majority did not price it.

But that subsidy never scaled into anything. Kiosks did not evolve into legitimate distribution rails, because the fee structure priced out everyone who had an alternative. A business that survives only on customers who lack alternatives is not a business; it is a tax on the uninformed. The 15% spread was never a temporary inefficiency awaiting competition. It was the entire economic premise — the margin existed because the buyer could not comparison-shop, could not read Etherscan, could not dispute a settled transaction. That is structural fragility wearing the costume of financial inclusion. Strip the costume and what remains is a terminal optimized for the exact demographic fraudsters hunt.

What the ban confirms is a split that has been widening since the spot ETF approvals. Federal-level policy has normalized custodial, KYC'd, bank-adjacent crypto exposure. Local-level policy has begun treating anonymous physical conversion as a public-safety problem rather than a financial service. Both moves push one direction: every dollar entering the chain should pass a compliance checkpoint with a legal identity attached to it. Albuquerque is not anti-Bitcoin. It is anti-anonymity. The council is not preventing anyone from holding BTC. It is preventing them from acquiring it without a name on the receipt.

Trust is a variable; verification is a constant. Regulators have selected their variable, and they are now optimizing the constant out of existence.

Three signals matter from here. Contagion: the 45-day precedent is portable, and municipalities holding identical complaint data are watching how cheap it was to pass. Litigation: if an operator challenges the order on interstate commerce or due process grounds, the ruling becomes a template for every city that follows, in either direction. And the on-chain tell — kiosk treasury addresses that stop receiving inflows inside one zip code and start receiving them from P2P intermediaries in the next are the honest ledger of what this ban accomplished. Silence in the code is where the theft hides, and the code is currently speaking considerably louder than the council minutes.

Watch the deposit addresses, not the press release. The machines are gone in 45 days. The cash is not.

Fear & Greed

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Greed

Market Sentiment

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